Ituano vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
OPE
3 - 2
ITU
43%
28%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 1
GRE
20%
26%
54%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 1
ITU
27%
30%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 0
BAH
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 0
ITU
52%
27%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
CSA
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 1
CRZ
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
NAU
42%
29%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
RFC
0 - 1
NAU
15%
19%
67%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |