Cup Paulista . Final
Global 2-2
Ituano vs Linense CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
LIN
2 - 2
ITU
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ITU
4 - 1
UNI
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 1
ITU
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 2
ITU
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ITU
2 - 3
MIR
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Linense CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
LIN
2 - 2
ITU
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 0
PEN
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
LIN
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LIN
3 - 3
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 0
LIN
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |