Ituano vs Maringá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
21.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITU
22%
27%
52%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
CAB
2 - 1
ITU
21%
27%
53%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
ITU
0 - 1
BRA
63%
23%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -3 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
ITU
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 0
SAN
15%
23%
63%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 0
CAB
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
BRA
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
GRE
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 1
LON
34%
23%
43%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LON
2 - 2
GRE
57%
22%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |