Ituano vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
ITU
38%
30%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 3
ITU
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
ITU
2 - 2
AGU
68%
19%
14%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 0
ITU
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
PPE
2 - 2
ITU
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
CSA
8 - 0
MUR
87%
10%
3%
|
76 | 36 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 2
CSA
8%
20%
73%
|
76 | 36 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
CSA
0 - 1
CRB
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CRB
0 - 1
CSA
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
CSA
0 - 0
SPO
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |