Ituano vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
ITU
83%
12%
5%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ITU
1 - 1
MIR
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
ITU
1 - 0
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 3
ITU
60%
22%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ITU
0 - 1
VIL
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
BOT
85%
11%
3%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 1
PPE
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
FER
5 - 0
BOT
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 1
GUA
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
BOT
82%
14%
4%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +1 |