Ittifaq Marrakech vs USM Oujda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
13º
10º
41
5º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
64% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ittifaq Marrakech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CBG
3 - 0
ITM
40%
28%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ITM
1 - 0
RAJ
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
ITM
1 - 4
WYD
18%
23%
59%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
DIF
2 - 1
ITM
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
USM Oujda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
USM
1 - 0
ODC
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
STM
1 - 0
USM
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
RKZ
2 - 2
USM
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
USM
2 - 1
CBG
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
WYD
3 - 1
USM
43%
29%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |