Itehad Nabaroh vs El Magd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
15º
13º
29
2º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 48 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itehad Nabaroh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 2
ITN
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
ITN
1 - 0
GSH
37%
27%
37%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
AMS
2 - 0
ITN
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
ITN
1 - 2
BAM
37%
26%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
ELM
0 - 0
ITN
39%
28%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
El Magd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
ELH
3 - 3
ELS
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
GSH
1 - 0
ELS
58%
24%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
ELS
2 - 2
AMS
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
BAM
1 - 1
ELS
69%
20%
12%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
ELS
1 - 2
ELM
40%
27%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |