Itaporã vs Nova Andradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itaporã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ITA
6 - 0
RIO
72%
17%
12%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
COX
1 - 3
ITA
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 0
OPE
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 1
COS
43%
24%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nova Andradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 4
NOV
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 0
COX
43%
24%
32%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
CAM
2 - 3
NOV
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
COS
2 - 1
NOV
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 0
MIS
23%
24%
53%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | +6 |