Itaporã vs Misto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itaporã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CEN
2 - 2
ITA
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 0
ITA
23%
24%
54%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ITA
5 - 2
CAM
76%
16%
9%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 1
ITA
21%
23%
57%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
3 - 0
COX
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Misto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
MIS
2 - 0
CAM
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
MIS
0 - 2
COR
9%
18%
73%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
COX
1 - 1
MIS
28%
26%
47%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
MIS
2 - 0
RIO
64%
20%
17%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
OPE
0 - 2
MIS
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |