Itaporã vs Ivinhema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itaporã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
ITA
5 - 0
AQU
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
7DE
1 - 4
ITA
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
IVI
2 - 1
ITA
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 0
AGU
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
AQU
2 - 0
ITA
27%
25%
49%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ivinhema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
IVI
5 - 0
CEN
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
IVI
2 - 2
NOV
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
IVI
2 - 1
ITA
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
MIS
3 - 3
IVI
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
IVI
1 - 1
COS
55%
22%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |