Sul-Matogrossense Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Itaporã vs CENE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itaporã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
COR
3 - 1
ITA
51%
23%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 1
IVI
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 2
ITA
14%
21%
66%
|
54 | 11 | 43 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
ITA
4 - 0
PAN
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 1
NAV
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MIS
1 - 4
CEN
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 0
CEN
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CEN
1 - 3
COS
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 1
CEN
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
SAA
1 - 2
CEN
20%
22%
58%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |