Itapipoca vs São Benedito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 2
ITA
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 1
HOR
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
ITA
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 1
MAR
45%
27%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
ITA
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
São Benedito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
HOR
3 - 1
SAO
75%
17%
9%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
ICA
2 - 1
SAO
80%
14%
6%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 3
QUI
27%
24%
50%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
3 - 1
ICA
13%
21%
66%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | +2 |