Itapipoca vs Nova Russas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
IGU
1 - 1
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 2
ITA
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 0
CRA
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 1
IGU
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
ITA
24%
23%
54%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Nova Russas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
NOV
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ARS
0 - 0
NOV
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
NOV
3 - 2
ARS
34%
24%
42%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 2
MAR
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
ITA
24%
23%
54%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +3 |