Itapipoca vs Maranguape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 0
ITA
80%
15%
6%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 1
UNI
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
HOR
5 - 2
ITA
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 1
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 3
ITA
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Maranguape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
UNI
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
ICA
25%
26%
50%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ICA
2 - 3
MAR
78%
16%
6%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 5
FOR
15%
23%
62%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
QUI
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |