Cearense 2 Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Itapipoca vs Maranguape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 3
ITA
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 1
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
6 - 0
ARS
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
PAC
3 - 0
ITA
26%
23%
51%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 0
TRA
46%
24%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Maranguape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
CRA
41%
25%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 1
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
UNI
60%
22%
17%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
ARS
0 - 0
MAR
40%
25%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
QUI
3 - 2
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |