Itapipoca vs Maranguape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
QUI
3 - 3
ITA
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
CRA
1 - 0
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
ITA
3 - 5
HOR
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 1
CEA
13%
20%
67%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
FER
0 - 0
ITA
60%
21%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Maranguape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 1
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
CEA
18%
21%
61%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
QUI
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 1
LIM
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |