Itapipoca vs Maracanã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
2 - 1
ITA
45%
21%
34%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
LIM
2 - 1
ITA
26%
22%
52%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 3
VIL
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
FOR
5 - 0
ITA
78%
15%
7%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 0
GUA
34%
27%
39%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Maracanã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
BAR
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 0
AAF
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ICA
2 - 1
MAR
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
PAC
2 - 2
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 4
IGU
36%
23%
41%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |