Cearense 2 Knock-outs Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Itapipoca vs Iguatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
49.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
IGU
2 - 1
ITA
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 0
PAC
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ICA
4 - 1
ITA
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 0
TIR
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
ITA
28%
21%
51%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Iguatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
IGU
2 - 1
ITA
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
IGU
30%
22%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
PAC
0 - 0
IGU
16%
19%
65%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
IGU
1 - 0
CGF
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
TIR
3 - 1
IGU
41%
22%
37%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |