Cearense 2 Knock-outs Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Itapipoca vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 0
IGU
28%
23%
49%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
IGU
2 - 1
ITA
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 0
PAC
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ICA
4 - 1
ITA
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 0
TIR
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
ICA
5 - 1
TIR
53%
21%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
TIR
0 - 0
ICA
56%
21%
22%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
ICA
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ICA
4 - 1
ITA
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
ICA
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |