Itapipoca vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
66.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
ITA
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 3
FOR
13%
21%
66%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
HOR
18%
22%
59%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 0
ITA
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
ITA
55%
24%
22%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
ICA
18%
23%
60%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ICA
2 - 0
CRA
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
ICA
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 0
ICA
50%
24%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
HOR
3 - 1
ICA
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |