Itapipoca vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 2
GUA
36%
26%
39%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
TIR
2 - 1
ITA
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
HOR
3 - 1
ITA
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 1
TRA
62%
21%
18%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CEA
3 - 0
ITA
79%
15%
7%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ICA
2 - 0
CEA
24%
24%
52%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
ICA
2 - 1
CRA
74%
17%
10%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ICA
2 - 1
TRA
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
CEA
2 - 0
ICA
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
ICA
1 - 2
FOR
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |