Itapipoca vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
42%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
3 - 0
ITA
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
4 - 0
ITA
56%
21%
23%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
BOV
2 - 1
ITA
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 1
CEA
20%
21%
59%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 2
BOV
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
FOR
4 - 2
ICA
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ICA
2 - 1
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
ICA
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ICA
3 - 0
HOR
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
BOV
2 - 1
ICA
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |