Itapipoca vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 4
ITA
38%
23%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
FOR
1 - 2
ITA
85%
10%
5%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
ITA
2 - 1
QUI
49%
23%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
UNI
3 - 1
ITA
42%
23%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 1
ITA
45%
23%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2007 |
ITA
3 - 3
ICA
13%
20%
67%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
ICA
3 - 2
GUA
54%
22%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
ICA
0 - 0
POR
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
BOT
2 - 2
ICA
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
ICA
3 - 1
BAR
64%
21%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |