Itapipoca vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
50.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
ITA
0 - 1
CEA
17%
21%
63%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
TIR
2 - 3
ITA
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
ITA
2 - 1
FOR
14%
21%
65%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
FER
3 - 1
ITA
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
LIM
1 - 1
ITA
30%
23%
47%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2005 |
FER
4 - 0
ICA
52%
22%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 2
ICA
26%
23%
51%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 4
ICA
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ICA
2 - 1
QUI
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2005 |
QUI
1 - 1
ICA
25%
24%
51%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |