Cearense 2 Semi-finals Final
Global 1-2
Itapipoca vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
HOR
1 - 1
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CRA
1 - 3
ITA
27%
21%
52%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
GPM
4 - 2
ITA
21%
20%
59%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 0
PAC
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
3 - 1
FLO
22%
26%
52%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
HOR
1 - 1
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
HOR
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
HOR
3 - 0
CRA
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
CRA
0 - 1
HOR
32%
22%
46%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
HOR
0 - 1
TIR
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |