Itapipoca vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ITA
3 - 2
QUI
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 1
MAR
44%
24%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
FOR
4 - 1
ITA
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 0
ITA
44%
23%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
ITA
2 - 1
HOR
28%
24%
49%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
HOR
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
GUA
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 3
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 1
FER
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 1
FOR
14%
20%
66%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |