Itapipoca vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 0
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
CEA
3 - 0
ITA
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 1
ITA
72%
18%
11%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
7 - 0
ITA
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 0
CRA
48%
25%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 0
GUA
85%
11%
4%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 2
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
ICA
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 2
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 0
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |