Itapipoca vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
68.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 2
CRA
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
TRA
2 - 1
ITA
39%
25%
37%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
4 - 2
ITA
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
ITA
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 0
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
CEA
5 - 0
GUA
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEA
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
CEA
3 - 0
HOR
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CEA
3 - 1
GUA
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CEA
1 - 0
FER
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | 0 |