Itapipoca vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
67.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
FER
0 - 0
ITA
60%
21%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 2
ITA
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 2
HOR
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 4
FOR
21%
24%
55%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 0
ITA
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
HOR
0 - 1
CEA
17%
21%
63%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
CEA
0 - 0
ARN
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
PPE
1 - 2
CEA
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 2
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
ATL
4 - 1
CEA
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |