Itapipoca vs Barras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 3
ITA
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2007 |
SAM
2 - 1
ITA
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
ITA
1 - 3
RIV
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
FOR
1 - 0
ITA
80%
13%
8%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ITA
0 - 0
FOR
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 3
ITA
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
RIV
0 - 0
BAR
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 0
SAM
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 3
RIV
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
RIV
4 - 1
BAR
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |