Itaperuna vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itaperuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
ANG
1 - 2
ITA
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ITA
3 - 0
PFC
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +3 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SEC
3 - 3
ITA
75%
16%
10%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
3 - 2
GOY
19%
23%
58%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | +5 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 1
ITA
71%
18%
12%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
SEC
3 - 2
BON
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
BON
3 - 2
GOY
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +3 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 0
BON
50%
24%
27%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
BON
4 - 1
ANG
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CER
1 - 1
BON
47%
23%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |