Copa Verde Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Itapemirim vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapemirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
LUV
0 - 1
ITA
69%
18%
14%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ITA
3 - 1
CUI
19%
22%
59%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
REA
2 - 2
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
CUI
2 - 3
ITA
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 0
ESP
51%
24%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
SIN
1 - 1
LUV
18%
24%
58%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
LUV
0 - 1
ITA
69%
18%
14%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
LUV
0 - 0
SIN
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
LUV
3 - 0
MIX
80%
14%
6%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
LUV
7 - 0
SDS
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |