Itapemirim vs Estrela do Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapemirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
ESP
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
DOZ
0 - 1
ITA
17%
21%
63%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
DES
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
EST
0 - 2
ITA
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
DES
1 - 1
ITA
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela do Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
DES
1 - 0
EST
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
ESP
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
DOZ
0 - 2
EST
18%
21%
61%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
EST
0 - 2
ITA
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 0
EST
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |