Capixaba Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Itapemirim vs Tupy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapemirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ECT
0 - 2
ITA
12%
19%
69%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ITA
3 - 1
REA
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 1
ITA
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 2
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ESP
2 - 2
ITA
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tupy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ECT
0 - 2
ITA
12%
19%
69%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ECT
0 - 1
VIT
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
LIN
0 - 0
ECT
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
ECT
2 - 1
ESP
17%
20%
64%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | +3 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
DES
4 - 0
ECT
74%
16%
11%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |