Capixaba Final Stages Final
Global 4-3
Itapemirim vs Doze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapemirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
DOZ
2 - 2
ITA
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 1
ECT
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ECT
0 - 2
ITA
12%
19%
69%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ITA
3 - 1
REA
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 1
ITA
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Doze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
DOZ
2 - 2
ITA
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DOZ
0 - 0
ESP
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 0
DOZ
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 3
DOZ
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
DOZ
0 - 0
ESP
36%
25%
40%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |