Itapemirim vs Doze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapemirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
DES
1 - 1
ITA
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 1
EST
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
ESP
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
DOZ
0 - 1
ITA
17%
21%
63%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
DES
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Doze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
DOZ
0 - 1
DES
13%
19%
69%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
DOZ
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
DOZ
1 - 0
ESP
22%
22%
57%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
DOZ
0 - 1
ITA
17%
21%
63%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
DES
3 - 0
DOZ
80%
14%
6%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |