Copa Verde Quarter-finals
Global 6-3
Itapemirim vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
59.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapemirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
REA
2 - 2
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
CUI
2 - 3
ITA
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 0
ESP
51%
24%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
ITA
4 - 1
DOZ
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SER
2 - 1
ITA
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
CUI
0 - 1
NAU
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
URO
0 - 1
CUI
19%
26%
56%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
CUI
2 - 3
ITA
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 1
CUI
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CUI
3 - 2
AAC
78%
16%
7%
|
64 | 32 | 32 | +1 |