Italy U19s vs Moldova U19s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 1
SWE
69%
19%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 1
BEL
42%
23%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
IRL
2 - 0
ITA
21%
21%
59%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
CHE
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 1
ARM
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Moldova U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
MLT
1 - 0
MDA
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
SWE
1 - 0
MDA
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
MDA
0 - 2
SRB
8%
14%
78%
|
32 | 63 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MDA
0 - 1
LTU
43%
23%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
GRC
2 - 1
MDA
75%
17%
8%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | -1 |