Italia U19 vs Finlandia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
AUT
2 - 1
ITA
48%
23%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 0
SCO
61%
20%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 2
CRO
40%
23%
38%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
SRB
1 - 3
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ITA
6 - 0
SMR
83%
12%
5%
|
61 | 24 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Finlandia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
FIN
0 - 3
LTU
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 0
FIN
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
SCO
2 - 2
FIN
59%
21%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
FIN
0 - 0
KAZ
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
SRB
1 - 0
FIN
76%
16%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |