Italy U20 vs Switzerland U20s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
PRT
3 - 4
ITA
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 2
ENG
26%
21%
52%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
CZE
0 - 2
ITA
26%
21%
53%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 0
POL
48%
22%
30%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2019 |
ITA
0 - 1
ECU
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Switzerland U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
POL
5 - 1
CHE
30%
23%
48%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 1
DEU
17%
22%
60%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 1
CZE
32%
23%
44%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 1
ENG
15%
18%
68%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
PRT
2 - 2
CHE
54%
24%
21%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |