Italia U20 vs Polonia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
33.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
URU
0 - 0
ITA
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 3
ENG
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
ITA
3 - 2
ZAM
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 2
ITA
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
JPN
2 - 2
ITA
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Polonia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
POL
0 - 0
SUI
47%
23%
30%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
POL
0 - 1
HUN
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
POL
2 - 1
GRC
57%
22%
22%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
POL
3 - 1
ITA
27%
23%
51%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
GER
4 - 0
POL
44%
23%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |