Águilas Doradas vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
SFE
0 - 0
AGU
58%
24%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 1
EQU
53%
26%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
COR
1 - 0
AGU
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
AGU
0 - 0
ALI
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 0
AGU
26%
28%
46%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
HUA
3 - 0
COM
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
COM
2 - 0
LEO
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 0
COM
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
COM
3 - 1
AUR
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 1
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |