Águilas Doradas vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
REA
0 - 2
AGU
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 3
AGU
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 3
NAC
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
AGU
3 - 0
ONC
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
ENV
0 - 1
AGU
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
ACA
3 - 1
REA
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
REA
0 - 2
AGU
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
REA
1 - 1
BUC
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
REA
1 - 0
COR
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 2
REA
26%
24%
50%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |