Águilas Doradas vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
20.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 0
AGU
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2010 |
CAL
2 - 0
AGU
75%
15%
9%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
REA
1 - 0
AGU
23%
26%
51%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
AGU
0 - 1
CAL
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
AGU
6 - 1
FOR
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
REA
3 - 1
RIO
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
REA
1 - 0
AGU
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
RSC
0 - 1
REA
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
REA
2 - 0
BAR
53%
26%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 2
REA
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |