Águilas Doradas vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
46.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CAL
4 - 0
AGU
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
AGU
2 - 0
IND
27%
28%
46%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 2
AGU
34%
29%
37%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
AGU
0 - 0
HUI
42%
29%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ENV
2 - 0
AGU
44%
29%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MIL
3 - 1
AME
55%
26%
19%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
MIL
0 - 0
COR
29%
28%
44%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 0
MIL
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
MIL
1 - 1
NAC
45%
28%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
MIL
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |