Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 0-1
Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
42.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
AGU
70%
18%
11%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 0
AGU
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 2
JAG
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
HUI
0 - 2
AGU
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 0
PAT
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
JAG
0 - 3
TOL
26%
29%
45%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 0
AGU
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
EQU
1 - 1
TOL
35%
29%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 0
PAS
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
JUN
0 - 0
TOL
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |