Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
AGU
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
PAT
0 - 0
AGU
26%
28%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 1
JAG
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 1
QUI
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 2
RIO
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
PER
3 - 0
TOL
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
TOL
2 - 0
HUI
64%
22%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
TOL
2 - 1
ONC
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CUC
2 - 1
TOL
30%
27%
44%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
HUI
2 - 0
TOL
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |