Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
JUN
0 - 0
AGU
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
AGU
3 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 0
AGU
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SFE
3 - 2
AGU
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 1
MIL
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
CAR
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 1
TOL
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
HUI
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TOL
3 - 1
CAL
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOL
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |