Itabuna vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
39.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
JEQ
2 - 1
ITA
18%
21%
61%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 1
BAR
73%
17%
11%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
BAH
5 - 0
ITA
93%
6%
2%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
SDJ
1 - 1
ITA
17%
21%
62%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
ITA
3 - 1
JAC
49%
23%
28%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 2
NOV
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 2
NOV
18%
22%
60%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 1
BOA
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 0
MAD
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 2
NOV
84%
12%
4%
|
54 | 90 | 36 | +1 |