Itabuna vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 1
BAH
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
JEC
1 - 1
ITA
11%
17%
72%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 2
ALA
63%
20%
18%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BAH
4 - 1
ITA
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
BAH
24%
25%
52%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
JAC
3 - 2
ALA
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SDJ
2 - 1
JAC
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
JAC
0 - 1
VIT
11%
20%
69%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
JAC
65%
20%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ASA
3 - 2
JAC
26%
28%
47%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |